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Originally Posted by gekko
Now when you get back to who is most likely to drop out, you have three choices:
1) Sony - Would make less money
2) Nintendo - Would make less money
3) Microsoft - Would increase profits by 10%
I think it's obvious.
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lol... didn't I just say: "Don't get me wrong though, eventually profits are important, but comparing MS to Nintendo in profits now doesn't make a lick of sense."
it's like a gambler... You put money out and in the end hope to get more money back from it. You are the guy standing there saying "Oh man, he just bet $1,000 that the spurs will win the NBA finals, he just lost $1,000 of his income" I am the guy saying "Well, he bet $1,000, but it's too early to say if he has 'lost' the money"
The money MS put down for Xbox to this day is the bet... and the payout goal for MS is in the long run. Nintendo's financial plans stay pretty short-term... and Sony likes to gamble too (losing around $250 on every Ps2 sold at launch in Japan, and $150 at launch in US)
as for the question of who is more likely to drop out... well, MS isn't any more likely to drop out than anybody as long as things go as planned, and right now, this is how they were planning Xbox to start off. Was Nintendo planning for GCN to have less than 15 million in it's first two years on the market? Wasn't Nintendo the ones making reports of how thier profits aren't where they want them to be?
MS (if they were stupid enough) could last forever without profit... but Nintendo not only needs a profit, a nice hulky profit. Thus, imo, making them more likely to drop out or merge.