Neo's expert electoral college predictions

Xantar · 10-14-2004, 05:09 PM

The three critical states are Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida. No candidate in recent memory has ever been able to win without also winning at least two of these three. So forget New Hampshire. Never mind Nevada. It seems to me that Florida is leaning towards Bush since his brother is the governor there. So it's going to come down to Ohio and Pennsylvania.

And I vote in Pennsylvania.

The Germanator · 10-14-2004, 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xantar

And I vote in Pennsylvania.

Ditto.

Stonecutter · 10-14-2004, 07:05 PM

Lucky people whose votes really matter.

IMO, Ohio lost too many jobs to outsourcing to go to Bush, and the whole thing with the Coal (or maybe it's steal) tariffs should give Penn to Bush. The smaller states are still going to make a difference because you can't get swept in them and still expect to win. In addition to Neo's states, Arizona is still up for grabs IMO, as is Minnesota.

DeathsHand · 10-14-2004, 07:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Stonecutter

Lucky people whose votes really matter.

If only there were no electoral college...... *strokes beard*

Professor S · 10-15-2004, 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Xantar

And I vote in Pennsylvania.

Same here.

Neo · 10-16-2004, 12:05 PM

In an amazing turn of events Kerry has taken a 4 point lead in Ohio, something I never thought possible. If trends continue Kerry will win both Ohio and Pennsylvania. And for an interesting take on poll numbers go to http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/...ead/index.html.

The majority of the American people didn't want Bush, and we don't have to keep him.

Bush is going down.

Ace195 · 10-16-2004, 12:15 PM

You guys still have to remember one thing.. Absentee Ballot for all the people overseas.. I don't think they are taking into consideration the guys that are overseas from those states... I bet atleast 2/3's if not more are for bush.. People in the military like him.... Not all I'm not saying that all of us like him.. I do... But most agree with me.

Neo · 10-16-2004, 12:22 PM

Very true. I believe it's upwards of 70% of the military that supports Bush. How many troops do we have overseas now anyway? The key element in the article I referenced was the notion that the undecided voters break overwhelmingly for the challenger on election day. Will it make a difference?

Seth · 10-16-2004, 09:47 PM

Party at my house if Kerry wins.

The Germanator · 10-16-2004, 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seth

Party at my house if Kerry wins.

Man...there will be a huge party on this campus if Kerry wins. I don't even want to imagine what this place will be like if Bush wins...bad news.